{"id":1579,"date":"2023-12-04T17:27:05","date_gmt":"2023-12-04T22:27:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/?page_id=1579"},"modified":"2025-07-10T16:37:30","modified_gmt":"2025-07-10T21:37:30","slug":"analisis-epidemiologico-y-modelamiento-matematico-utaemm","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/vigilancia-epidemiologica\/analisis-epidemiologico-y-modelamiento-matematico-utaemm\/","title":{"rendered":"An\u00e1lisis Epidemiol\u00f3gico y Modelamiento Matem\u00e1tico (UTAEMM)"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"1579\" class=\"elementor elementor-1579\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-dda0981 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"dda0981\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;jet_parallax_layout_list&quot;:[]}\" data-mover=\"iaas\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5010f5d\" data-id=\"5010f5d\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3586a610 tab-custom-cdc elementor-widget elementor-widget-eael-adv-tabs\" data-id=\"3586a610\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"eael-adv-tabs.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t        <div data-scroll-on-click=\"no\" data-scroll-speed=\"300\" id=\"eael-advance-tabs-3586a610\" class=\"eael-advance-tabs eael-tabs-vertical eael-tab-auto-active \" data-tabid=\"3586a610\">\n            <div class=\"eael-tabs-nav \">\n                <ul class=\"\" role=\"tablist\">\n                                            <li id=\"Que-es\" class=\"inactive eael-tab-item-trigger eael-tab-nav-item\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-tab=\"1\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-controls=\"Que-es-tab\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n                            \n                            \n                            \n                                                            <span class=\"eael-tab-title title-after-icon\" >\u00bfQu\u00e9 es?<\/span>                                                    <\/li>\n                                            <li id=\"Que-se-hace\" class=\"inactive eael-tab-item-trigger eael-tab-nav-item\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"2\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"Que-se-hace-tab\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n                            \n                            \n                            \n                                                            <span class=\"eael-tab-title title-after-icon\" >\u00bfQu\u00e9 se hace?<\/span>                                                    <\/li>\n                                            <li id=\"Material-interes\" class=\"inactive eael-tab-item-trigger eael-tab-nav-item\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"3\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"Material-interes-tab\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n                            \n                            \n                            \n                                                            <span class=\"eael-tab-title title-after-icon\" >Material de inter\u00e9s<\/span>                                                    <\/li>\n                                            <li id=\"herramientas-de-inters\" class=\"inactive eael-tab-item-trigger eael-tab-nav-item\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-tab=\"4\" role=\"tab\" tabindex=\"-1\" aria-controls=\"herramientas-de-inters-tab\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n                            \n                            \n                            \n                                                            <span class=\"eael-tab-title title-after-icon\" >Herramientas de inter\u00e9s<\/span>                                                    <\/li>\n                    \n                                  <\/ul>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"eael-tabs-content\">\n\t\t        \n                    <div id=\"Que-es-tab\" class=\"clearfix eael-tab-content-item inactive\" data-title-link=\"Que-es-tab\">\n\t\t\t\t        <div><h2>\u00bfQu\u00e9 es?<\/h2><p>El an\u00e1lisis epidemiol\u00f3gico y el modelamiento matem\u00e1tico representan herramientas cruciales para la comprensi\u00f3n, predicci\u00f3n y control de enfermedades.<\/p><p>El an\u00e1lisis epidemiol\u00f3gico implica examinar la distribuci\u00f3n y determinantes de las enfermedades, identificando factores de riesgo que permitan la formulaci\u00f3n de estrategias de intervenci\u00f3n.<\/p><p>El modelamiento matem\u00e1tico de los datos puede explicar el comportamiento pasado, predecir el comportamiento futuro y, a trav\u00e9s del ajuste par\u00e1metros puede reflejar diferentes escenarios y evaluar la efectividad de diversas intervenciones, lo que resulta invaluable para la planificaci\u00f3n y toma de decisiones en salud p\u00fablica.<\/p><\/div>                    <\/div>\n\t\t        \n                    <div id=\"Que-se-hace-tab\" class=\"clearfix eael-tab-content-item inactive\" data-title-link=\"Que-se-hace-tab\">\n\t\t\t\t        <h2>\u00bfQu\u00e9 se hace?<\/h2><p>Con el objetivo de comprender y abordar los desaf\u00edos de la salud p\u00fablica, la Unidad de An\u00e1lisis Epidemiol\u00f3gico y Modelamiento Matem\u00e1tico, despliega un abanico de metodolog\u00edas y an\u00e1lisis avanzados. Sus principales \u00e1reas de trabajo incluyen:<\/p><ul class=\"custom4levels\"><li><strong>Epidemiolog\u00eda descriptiva y anal\u00edtica:<\/strong> Caracterizar y resumir la distribuci\u00f3n de enfermedades en t\u00e9rminos de tiempo, lugar y persona e identificar factores de riesgo o protectores que puedan estar asociados con la ocurrencia de una enfermedad.<\/li><li><strong>Modelamiento matem\u00e1tico:<\/strong> Desarrollar modelos para entender la din\u00e1mica de transmisi\u00f3n de las enfermedades infecciosas y predecir el comportamiento futuro. Modelos compartimentales, modelos para enfermedades transmitidas por vectores y modelos basados en agentes.<\/li><li><strong>An\u00e1lisis espacial:<\/strong> Por medio de t\u00e9cnicas estad\u00edstica se buscan patrones espaciales que permitan explicar la din\u00e1mica de un da\u00f1o, as\u00ed como caracterizar el riesgo ante este.<\/li><li><strong>Desarrollo de modelos predictivos:<\/strong> Modelos matem\u00e1ticos y modelos de aprendizaje autom\u00e1tico (Machine Learning) para la predicci\u00f3n de brotes y el pron\u00f3stico de casos de las enfermedades infecciosas para la toma de decisiones en salud p\u00fablica.<\/li><li><strong>Evaluaci\u00f3n de riesgo:<\/strong> Cuantificar los riesgos asociados con diferentes exposiciones, comportamientos o condiciones de salud, utilizando datos epidemiol\u00f3gicos y modelos matem\u00e1ticos; y evaluar el impacto potencial de los riesgos identificados en la salud de la poblaci\u00f3n, as\u00ed como en otros aspectos como el sistema de salud, la econom\u00eda y el medio ambiente.<\/li><li><strong>Ciencias de la implementaci\u00f3n:<\/strong> Automatizaci\u00f3n y estandarizaci\u00f3n de datos para la elaboraci\u00f3n tableros interactivos como herramientas para la vigilancia epidemiol\u00f3gica.<\/li><li><strong>Clima y Salud:<\/strong> Investigar y analizar la interacci\u00f3n c\u00f3mo las variaciones clim\u00e1ticas y los eventos extremos pueden afectar la incidencia de enfermedades y la salud de la poblaci\u00f3n.<\/li><\/ul>                    <\/div>\n\t\t        \n                    <div id=\"Material-interes-tab\" class=\"clearfix eael-tab-content-item inactive\" data-title-link=\"Material-interes-tab\">\n\t\t\t\t        <h2>Art\u00edculos cient\u00edficos de inter\u00e9s<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S2468042720300130\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29th\u2013March 30th, 2020<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/linkinghub.elsevier.com\/retrieve\/pii\/S258953702100081X\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SARS-CoV-2 prevalence associated to low socioeconomic status and overcrowding in an LMIC megacity: A population-based seroepidemiological survey in Lima, Peru<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/jpubhealth\/article\/44\/3\/e359\/6594716\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">COVID-19 among Amazonian indigenous in Peru: Mortality, incidence, and clinical characteristics<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/rpmesp.ins.gob.pe\/index.php\/rpmesp\/article\/view\/12170\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Comorbilidades asociadas a la mortalidad por COVID-19 en adultos en Lima, Per\u00fa: un estudio de cohorte retrospectiva<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00415-022-11331-4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Clinical features of Guillain\u2013Barr\u00e9 syndrome and factors associated with mortality during the 2019 outbreak in Peru<\/a><\/li><\/ul>                    <\/div>\n\t\t        \n                    <div id=\"herramientas-de-inters-tab\" class=\"clearfix eael-tab-content-item inactive\" data-title-link=\"herramientas-de-inters-tab\">\n\t\t\t\t        <h2>Herramientas de inter\u00e9s<\/h2><ul><li><strong>Generador de mapas de calor:<\/strong>\u00a0<\/li><\/ul><p style=\"padding-left: 40px\">Herramienta web intuitiva y accesible dise\u00f1ada para la creaci\u00f3n sencilla de mapas de calor y mapas coropl\u00e9ticos. Esta plataforma empodera tanto a profesionales de la salud como al p\u00fablico en general al permitirles visualizar datos epidemiol\u00f3gicos de manera clara y efectiva mediante representaciones geogr\u00e1ficas codificadas por color. Gracias a su interfaz amigable, la selecci\u00f3n de variables y la generaci\u00f3n de mapas se realizan de forma fluida, convirti\u00e9ndola en una valiosa herramienta para la identificaci\u00f3n de patrones geogr\u00e1ficos asociados a enfermedades u otros indicadores de salud.<\/p><p style=\"padding-left: 40px\"><em>Link para acceder al Generador de mapas de calor: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/app7.dge.gob.pe\/maps\/visor_mapas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/app7.dge.gob.pe\/maps\/visor_mapas\/<\/a><\/p>                    <\/div>\n\t\t                    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00bfQu\u00e9 es? \u00bfQu\u00e9 se hace? Material de inter\u00e9s Herramientas de inter\u00e9s \u00bfQu\u00e9 es? El an\u00e1lisis epidemiol\u00f3gico y el modelamiento matem\u00e1tico representan herramientas cruciales para la comprensi\u00f3n, predicci\u00f3n y control de enfermedades. El an\u00e1lisis epidemiol\u00f3gico implica examinar la distribuci\u00f3n y determinantes de las enfermedades, identificando factores de riesgo que permitan la formulaci\u00f3n de estrategias de intervenci\u00f3n. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":1207,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1579","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1579","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1579"}],"version-history":[{"count":59,"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1579\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11614,"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1579\/revisions\/11614"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1207"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.dge.gob.pe\/portalnuevo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1579"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}